Who are the Drivers of Property Booms and Busts?

As a property investor have you considered who may be the driver of a property boom or property bust?

Have you considered why this may be important to understand?

For starters, you don’t want to buy something that could lose significant value.

So, it may be beneficial for you to understand the drivers at play and lower the risks for your next investment.

Conversely, it would also be beneficial to understand the drivers of a property boom.

A location where you could allocate your resource that will outperform the averages and give you wealth-producing rates of return.

There are two different types of drivers in our property market – Home Buyers and Investors.

Here are my thoughts and how you can capitalise.

Property Booms

So, who are the drivers of our property booms?

Let’s take a closer look at each of the buyer demographics in more detail to understand their motivation and buying habits.

A saying I have developed after decades of investing for myself and buying for others is,

“Home Buyers buy with their heart, while investors buy with their calculators”

From my experience, it’s the Home Buyers that are the drivers of property booms.

It really comes down to one reason – emotion.

The Home Buyer will think nothing of paying $50,000 or even $100,000 more for a property they fall in love with.

They know this may be their forever home, it is a great neighbourhood, it may be close to the best school and they simply have to have it!

An Investor just won’t do that, their calculator will not allow them to.

The facts and figures will never justify them overpaying by such a large amount.

Add in a shortage of stock, FOMO, and a dozen or more emotional Home Buyers for every single property, who have been searching and missing out for months and, well – BOOM!

Property Busts

Property busts are the reverse of property booms.

They are areas and locations where prices go into freefall and can drop upwards of 20% to 30%.

The most obvious examples of a property bust in recent times were the mining towns over the last decade.

This was predominantly driven by Investors.

Investors generally take a very short-term outlook and when a market starts to drop, they instantly sell up and pull their money out.

The share market is a good example of this, but it also happens with property.

On the other hand, owner-occupiers are longer-term thinkers, they see themselves in their home potentially for a decade or more.

When there is a downturn, they won’t simply sell their home – in fact, they’re incredibly resilient.

They would rather eat noodles for 6 months or sell a car to keep a roof over their family’s head than sell the family home.

Sure prices in areas dominated by homeowners often retract, but this emotion will stop prices from going into a downward spiral.

Here’s how to capitalise on this

Probably the most obvious lesson here is that I want to invest my money in a predominantly owner-occupied market.

Property prices will generally raise more in these locations and there is a lower risk of prices free falling.

As a property professional, this is one of our first considerations, finding an area that is established and has a good owner occupier percentage.

One of the tools you can use is the Domain – Suburb Profile.

It can be used to give you a quick snapshot of a suburb and the makeup.

The second lesson may not be so obvious, in that you need to understand that not all Home Buyers / Owner Occupiers are equal.

I have written before why I believe that income and wages growth is one of the most important pieces of data you need to understand.

For around 90% of the population, wages growth is minimal at present, with incomes barely tracking very low inflation.

As a result, they find themselves living from paycheck to paycheck and with very low rates of savings.

The other 10% have higher incomes, multiple streams of income, and as a result higher rates of savings.

It is this type of demographic we want to target as it adds an additional layer of security for investors.

They can and do pay more for property, for longer and when a downturn comes, they can ride it out with higher savings and financial buffers.


A property boom and a property bust are part and parcel of every property cycle.

By understanding the drivers of each stage of the cycle, it can put you in a superior position as a property investor.

Target emotional Home Buyers with higher incomes and therefore superior financial buffers.

The booms will be larger and run for longer as they have greater resources to draw upon.

It is the same in a downturn, they can ride it out, are incredibly resilient, and will do whatever it takes to keep the family home.

Investors buy with their calculators and are usually much shorter-term thinkers.

They will not overpay substantially and will think nothing of pulling their money out of a falling market, leading to bigger busts.

Learn the lessons and put them into practice to set your portfolio up for longer-term, wealth-producing rates of return.

Now is the time to take advantage of the opportunities the current property markets are offering

Sure the markets are moving on, but not all properties are going to increase in value. Now, more than ever, correct property selection will be critical.

You can trust the team at Metropole to provide you with directionguidance, and results.

Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced investor, at times like we are currently experiencing you need an advisor who takes a holistic approach to your wealth creation and that’s exactly what you get from the multi-award-winning team at Metropole.

We help our clients grow, protect and pass on their wealth through a range of services including:

Strategic property advice – Allow us to build a Strategic Property Plan for you and your family.  Planning is bringing the future into the present so you can do something about it now! Click here to learn more
Buyer’s agency – As Australia’s most trusted buyers’ agents we’ve been involved in over $4Billion worth of transactions creating wealth for our clients and we can do the same for you. Our on the ground teams in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane bring you years of experience and perspective – that’s something money just can’t buy. We’ll help you find your next home or an investment-grade property.  Click here to learn how we can help you.
Wealth Advisory – We can provide you with strategic tailored financial planning and wealth advice. Click here to learn more about we can help you.
Property Management – Our stress-free property management services help you maximise your property returns. Click here to find out why our clients enjoy a vacancy rate considerably below the market average, our tenants stay an average of 3 years, and our properties lease 10 days faster than the market average.

Read More

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *